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Caravelle Cir, Kissimmee, FL 34746, USA
Cash-flow positive, but the margin over debt service is thin.
Investment potential
Your scenario · adjust the levers below or open advanced settings to see how returns change
$34,487
$2,874/mo · at 72% occupancy & $181/night
$151
$13/mo after costs & mortgage
Cap rate
6%
Cash-on-cash
0.1%
DSCR
1.01
Confidence
Your assumptions
Revenue
$34,487/yr
Market avg: $34,487/yr · 72% occ · $181 ADR
Financing
$19,221/yr
Operating costs
$15,116/yr
How this property compares to similar short-term rentals nearby.
Comparable set · 50 properties
$99–$298
Median $181
37%–91%
Median 73%
$22.1K–$54.0K
Median $33.6K
190–365
Median 298
This property · $34.5K
Comparable properties (50)
Cash flow potential Medium · Appreciation potential Medium
337 days available · 248 days booked ·
365 days available · 283 days booked ·
362 days available · 208 days booked ·
318 days available · 256 days booked ·
297 days available · 246 days booked ·
244 days available · 197 days booked ·
365 days available · 238 days booked ·
277 days available · 221 days booked ·
245 days available · 224 days booked ·
255 days available · 213 days booked ·
365 days available · 310 days booked ·
365 days available · 241 days booked ·
254 days available · 203 days booked ·
340 days available · 237 days booked ·
365 days available · 245 days booked ·
298 days available · 194 days booked ·
312 days available · 242 days booked ·
322 days available · 201 days booked ·
275 days available · 195 days booked ·
296 days available · 171 days booked ·
245 days available · 161 days booked ·
365 days available · 288 days booked ·
277 days available · 211 days booked ·
333 days available · 265 days booked ·
353 days available · 242 days booked ·
298 days available · 174 days booked ·
298 days available · 180 days booked ·
365 days available · 200 days booked ·
273 days available · 243 days booked ·
204 days available · 163 days booked ·
307 days available · 190 days booked ·
291 days available · 184 days booked ·
253 days available · 213 days booked ·
352 days available · 181 days booked ·
273 days available · 199 days booked ·
274 days available · 184 days booked ·
254 days available · 144 days booked ·
300 days available · 180 days booked ·
318 days available · 224 days booked ·
268 days available · 126 days booked ·
308 days available · 141 days booked ·
249 days available · 148 days booked ·
301 days available · 162 days booked ·
228 days available · 177 days booked ·
251 days available · 171 days booked ·
348 days available · 124 days booked ·
318 days available · 131 days booked ·
254 days available · 119 days booked ·
274 days available · 123 days booked ·
190 days available · 155 days booked ·
Revenue and occupancy reflect Chalet's modeled estimates from observed booking activity for comparable active listings. Individual results vary with management, seasonality, and pricing.
Who this property is for
The same property is a great buy for one investor and a trap for another. Here's the honest read.
1031 / high-equity buyer
~$79.3K
Year-1 tax shield
Buying with cash or low leverage removes the debt-coverage problem entirely, so the thesis rests on appreciation plus a large first-year write-off. At roughly 25% of purchase price, the shield is substantial enough to carry the deal on its own.
Price-disciplined buyer
$323.5K
Break-even purchase price
The deal already breaks even at or above the Zestimate, so you don't need a discount to make the math work. Buy at asking and the numbers still hold — rare enough in Kissimmee to be worth moving on.
DSCR cash-flow buyer
1.01
DSCR at asking
The property covers its debt service at asking but sits below the 1.20 most lenders want to see, so expect a larger down payment or a rate buy-down to get it financed. There's no margin for a soft season.
For a buyer who materially participates and qualifies for the STR tax treatment.
$79.3K
Estimated first-year deduction · range $65.8K–$90.4K
Why this matters here
At a marginal bracket, this deduction can be worth $24.3K–$33.4K in estimated federal tax saved.
This only applies if you meet the IRS material-participation tests for short-term rentals and are not using a full-service property manager.
Estimate, subject to CPA review. Cost-segregation percentages shown here are illustrative and depend on an actual study of the property.
Some states do not conform to federal bonus depreciation, so your state may not allow the same first-year treatment shown above.
Chalet can introduce a cost-segregation partner — this is not tax, legal, or financial advice.
How cash-on-cash return moves with purchase price. The marked line is break-even (1.0 DSCR).
At this price: cash-on-cash +0.1%, DSCR 1.01, cash flow $151/yr
| Price vs asking | Price | Cash-on-cash | DSCR | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25% | $240,750 | 6.0% | 1.34 | Positive |
| -22% | $250,380 | 5.1% | 1.29 | Positive |
| -15% | $272,850 | 3.3% | 1.19 | Positive |
| -8% | $295,320 | 1.7% | 1.10 | Positive |
| Asking | $321,000 | 0.1% | 1.01 | At break-even |
| +8% | $346,680 | -1.3% | 0.93 | Below break-even |
| +15% | $369,150 | -2.4% | 0.88 | Below break-even |
Break-even price
$323,515
~-1% under Zestimate. Where this property reaches 1.0 DSCR and neutral cash flow.
Discount needed
−$2,515
The gap between asking and the price a cash-flow buyer can underwrite.
If refi to 5.5% in 24 mo
+$2,817/yr
Illustrative cash-flow improvement at asking price if rates fall. Planning figure, not a forecast.
Annual avg $2,874 · peaks at $3,491 in Jan
Annual avg 67% · peaks at 78% in Feb
$13/mo after all expenses
Cash to close
Down payment, closing costs, and furnishing
$93,090
Return on cash:17.4%
You qualify for STR financing
Your DSCR is 1.01 · lenders typically require 1.0+.
Get matched with 2–3 vetted STR lenders, free.
What the deal returns over the hold — including the tax shield, which is the whole point for an appreciation buyer.
Levered IRR
19.4%
over 5-yr hold, with tax shield
Equity multiple
2.1×
total proceeds vs. $93,090 invested
Projected value at exit
$409,686
year 5 · 5.0% annual appreciation
Tax shield contribution
+7.2 pts
of IRR comes from year-1 depreciation
| Year | Equity | Appreciation | Cumulative cash flow | Total value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $82,696 | $16,050 | $29,487 | $128,233 |
| Year 2 | $85,318 | $32,903 | $30,155 | $148,376 |
| Year 3 | $88,130 | $50,598 | $31,349 | $170,076 |
| Year 4 | $91,145 | $69,178 | $33,075 | $193,398 |
| Year 5 | $94,378 | $88,686 | $35,342 | $218,407 |
Projection, not a promise.
Assumes 5.0% annual appreciation, 1.5% rent growth (operating costs held flat), and that the property qualifies for short-term-rental tax treatment. The year-1 depreciation shield depends on a real cost-segregation study and your tax situation — consult a CPA.
Appreciation is the dominant driver of this return. When cash flow is negative, the deal depends on the property gaining value — it is not paying for itself from income.
Appreciation, rent growth, and financing rates are editable under Edit financials.
STR deals turn on local rules and demand that a generalist agent misses. Chalet matches you with a vetted Kissimmee agent who knows which properties actually cash flow — and which to avoid.
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Disclaimer
This page and the data presented are for informational purposes only. The information provided should not be construed as financial, legal, or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult with qualified professionals before making investment decisions.