All Real Estate Services are offered through Chalet Realty (DBA of Mahalla Realty LLC).
Texas Real Estate Commission Consumer Protection NoticeTexas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage ServicesTREC DisclaimerChalet (“GetChalet Inc.”) provides general educational content and tools for real-estate investors. Chalet is not a law firm, CPA firm, or investment adviser, and does not provide tax, legal, or accounting advice. Nothing on this site creates a CPA-client, attorney-client, or fiduciary relationship. Tax laws change, and state rules may differ from federal rules (e.g., California decouples from federal bonus depreciation). Always consult your own qualified tax and legal professionals about your specific situation.
The term 'Airbnb' is used on our site in a colloquial sense, akin to saying 'I am going to Airbnb it.' This usage is intended to refer broadly to the concept of short-term rentals and not specifically to the Airbnb platform or services. Airbnb, Inc. is not affiliated with Chalet, nor does it endorse or sponsor our services. We use the term in this generalized manner to easily convey the idea of participating in short-term rental activities, recognizing 'Airbnb' as a term familiar to many in this context.
Affiliate & Referral Disclosure. Chalet may receive referral fees or other consideration when you engage with featured agents, lenders, cost-seg providers, or other partners referenced on this site. These relationships may influence which partners we present. We follow the FTC Endorsement Guides and aim to disclose material connections clearly and conspicuously.
Chalet (DBA of GetChalet Inc.) is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Airbnb, Airbnb.com, or any of its subsidiaries or its affiliates. The official Airbnb website can be found at http://www.airbnb.com. The name "Airbnb" as well as related names, marks, emblems and images are registered trademarks of Airbnb, Inc.
651 E Glade Ave, Mesa, AZ 85204, USA
Cash-flow positive, but the margin over debt service is thin.
Investment potential
Your scenario · adjust the levers below or open advanced settings to see how returns change
$54,417
$4,535/mo · at 64% occupancy & $301/night
$954
$80/mo after costs & mortgage
Cap rate
6.2%
Cash-on-cash
0.6%
DSCR
1.03
Confidence
Your assumptions
Revenue
$54,417/yr
Market avg: $54,417/yr · 64% occ · $301 ADR
Financing
$29,939/yr
Operating costs
$23,524/yr
How this property compares to similar short-term rentals nearby.
Comparable set · 50 properties
$214–$491
Median $301
24%–85%
Median 65%
$27.8K–$89.5K
Median $52.5K
177–361
Median 277
This property · $54.4K
Comparable properties (50)
Cash flow potential Medium · Appreciation potential Medium
343 days available · 201 days booked ·
361 days available · 283 days booked ·
286 days available · 203 days booked ·
262 days available · 189 days booked ·
223 days available · 180 days booked ·
264 days available · 153 days booked ·
283 days available · 191 days booked ·
347 days available · 269 days booked ·
271 days available · 160 days booked ·
333 days available · 174 days booked ·
238 days available · 162 days booked ·
281 days available · 149 days booked ·
295 days available · 230 days booked ·
205 days available · 172 days booked ·
293 days available · 204 days booked ·
301 days available · 177 days booked ·
288 days available · 123 days booked ·
274 days available · 194 days booked ·
305 days available · 227 days booked ·
294 days available · 186 days booked ·
330 days available · 178 days booked ·
279 days available · 214 days booked ·
243 days available · 187 days booked ·
291 days available · 223 days booked ·
213 days available · 154 days booked ·
263 days available · 154 days booked ·
301 days available · 179 days booked ·
278 days available · 173 days booked ·
276 days available · 184 days booked ·
275 days available · 165 days booked ·
261 days available · 158 days booked ·
291 days available · 157 days booked ·
231 days available · 153 days booked ·
239 days available · 178 days booked ·
281 days available · 185 days booked ·
260 days available · 138 days booked ·
269 days available · 126 days booked ·
310 days available · 249 days booked ·
281 days available · 222 days booked ·
274 days available · 183 days booked ·
241 days available · 195 days booked ·
195 days available · 116 days booked ·
267 days available · 164 days booked ·
231 days available · 151 days booked ·
284 days available · 82 days booked ·
246 days available · 144 days booked ·
345 days available · 121 days booked ·
304 days available · 141 days booked ·
240 days available · 132 days booked ·
177 days available · 115 days booked ·
Revenue and occupancy reflect Chalet's modeled estimates from observed booking activity for comparable active listings. Individual results vary with management, seasonality, and pricing.
Who this property is for
The same property is a great buy for one investor and a trap for another. Here's the honest read.
1031 / high-equity buyer
~$123.5K
Year-1 tax shield
Buying with cash or low leverage removes the debt-coverage problem entirely, so the thesis rests on appreciation plus a large first-year write-off. At roughly 25% of purchase price, the shield is substantial enough to carry the deal on its own.
Price-disciplined buyer
$515.9K
Break-even purchase price
The deal already breaks even at or above the Zestimate, so you don't need a discount to make the math work. Buy at asking and the numbers still hold — rare enough in Mesa to be worth moving on.
DSCR cash-flow buyer
1.03
DSCR at asking
The property covers its debt service at asking but sits below the 1.20 most lenders want to see, so expect a larger down payment or a rate buy-down to get it financed. There's no margin for a soft season.
For a buyer who materially participates and qualifies for the STR tax treatment.
$123.5K
Estimated first-year deduction · range $102.5K–$140.8K
Why this matters here
At a marginal bracket, this deduction can be worth $37.9K–$52.1K in estimated federal tax saved.
This only applies if you meet the IRS material-participation tests for short-term rentals and are not using a full-service property manager.
Estimate, subject to CPA review. Cost-segregation percentages shown here are illustrative and depend on an actual study of the property.
Some states do not conform to federal bonus depreciation, so your state may not allow the same first-year treatment shown above.
Chalet can introduce a cost-segregation partner — this is not tax, legal, or financial advice.
How cash-on-cash return moves with purchase price. The marked line is break-even (1.0 DSCR).
At this price: cash-on-cash +0.6%, DSCR 1.03, cash flow $954/yr
| Price vs asking | Price | Cash-on-cash | DSCR | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25% | $375,000 | 7.2% | 1.38 | Positive |
| -22% | $390,000 | 6.2% | 1.32 | Positive |
| -15% | $425,000 | 4.2% | 1.21 | Positive |
| -8% | $460,000 | 2.4% | 1.12 | Positive |
| Asking | $500,000 | 0.6% | 1.03 | Positive |
| +8% | $540,000 | -0.9% | 0.96 | Below break-even |
| +15% | $575,000 | -2.1% | 0.90 | Below break-even |
Break-even price
$515,936
~-3% under Zestimate. Where this property reaches 1.0 DSCR and neutral cash flow.
Discount needed
−$15,936
The gap between asking and the price a cash-flow buyer can underwrite.
If refi to 5.5% in 24 mo
+$4,388/yr
Illustrative cash-flow improvement at asking price if rates fall. Planning figure, not a forecast.
Annual avg $4,535 · peaks at $5,507 in Jan
Annual avg 64% · peaks at 73% in Mar
$80/mo after all expenses
Cash to close
Down payment, closing costs, and furnishing
$145,000
Return on cash:17.9%
You qualify for STR financing
Your DSCR is 1.03 · lenders typically require 1.0+.
Get matched with 2–3 vetted STR lenders, free.
What the deal returns over the hold — including the tax shield, which is the whole point for an appreciation buyer.
Levered IRR
19.8%
over 5-yr hold, with tax shield
Equity multiple
2.1×
total proceeds vs. $145,000 invested
Projected value at exit
$638,141
year 5 · 5.0% annual appreciation
Tax shield contribution
+7.2 pts
of IRR comes from year-1 depreciation
| Year | Equity | Appreciation | Cumulative cash flow | Total value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $128,809 | $25,000 | $46,649 | $200,458 |
| Year 2 | $132,894 | $51,250 | $48,419 | $232,563 |
| Year 3 | $137,274 | $78,813 | $51,018 | $267,104 |
| Year 4 | $141,970 | $107,753 | $54,458 | $304,181 |
| Year 5 | $147,007 | $138,141 | $58,751 | $343,898 |
Projection, not a promise.
Assumes 5.0% annual appreciation, 1.5% rent growth (operating costs held flat), and that the property qualifies for short-term-rental tax treatment. The year-1 depreciation shield depends on a real cost-segregation study and your tax situation — consult a CPA.
Appreciation is the dominant driver of this return. When cash flow is negative, the deal depends on the property gaining value — it is not paying for itself from income.
Appreciation, rent growth, and financing rates are editable under Edit financials.
STR deals turn on local rules and demand that a generalist agent misses. Chalet matches you with a vetted Mesa agent who knows which properties actually cash flow — and which to avoid.
© 2026 Chalet. All rights reserved.
This analysis is generated by Chalet's Airbnb Calculator
Visit getchalet.com for more tools
Real Estate Investment Analysis & Market Insights
Disclaimer. This page and the data presented are for informational purposes only. The information provided should not be construed as financial, legal, or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult with qualified professionals before making investment decisions.
Daily Rate
$208
Occupancy
0.8%