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6201 Minaret Rd #2221, Mammoth Lakes, CA 93546, USA
Priced too high to cash-flow with a loan — an equity or tax play, not income.
Investment potential
Your scenario · adjust the levers below or open advanced settings to see how returns change
$89,991
$7,499/mo · at 62% occupancy & $487/night
-$10,026
-$835/mo after costs & mortgage
Cap rate
4.9%
Cash-on-cash
-3.7%
DSCR
0.82
Confidence
Your assumptions
Revenue
$89,991/yr
Market avg: $89,991/yr · 62% occ · $487 ADR
Financing
$57,117/yr
Operating costs
$42,901/yr
How this property compares to similar short-term rentals nearby.
Comparable set · 50 properties
$316–$672
Median $487
37%–86%
Median 63%
$42.8K–$168.1K
Median $84.6K
234–365
Median 317
This property · $90.0K
Comparable properties (50)
Cash flow potential Low · Appreciation potential Medium
365 days available · 247 days booked ·
365 days available · 264 days booked ·
310 days available · 244 days booked ·
344 days available · 254 days booked ·
335 days available · 247 days booked ·
363 days available · 269 days booked ·
311 days available · 234 days booked ·
328 days available · 238 days booked ·
316 days available · 241 days booked ·
310 days available · 238 days booked ·
317 days available · 227 days booked ·
293 days available · 215 days booked ·
365 days available · 243 days booked ·
276 days available · 210 days booked ·
314 days available · 212 days booked ·
234 days available · 194 days booked ·
337 days available · 203 days booked ·
323 days available · 188 days booked ·
331 days available · 151 days booked ·
365 days available · 185 days booked ·
365 days available · 209 days booked ·
302 days available · 160 days booked ·
342 days available · 183 days booked ·
365 days available · 215 days booked ·
358 days available · 205 days booked ·
365 days available · 174 days booked ·
275 days available · 167 days booked ·
321 days available · 166 days booked ·
338 days available · 216 days booked ·
316 days available · 154 days booked ·
350 days available · 163 days booked ·
342 days available · 175 days booked ·
346 days available · 192 days booked ·
279 days available · 156 days booked ·
291 days available · 148 days booked ·
267 days available · 132 days booked ·
258 days available · 125 days booked ·
283 days available · 172 days booked ·
365 days available · 168 days booked ·
299 days available · 160 days booked ·
324 days available · 122 days booked ·
300 days available · 153 days booked ·
274 days available · 131 days booked ·
278 days available · 157 days booked ·
362 days available · 118 days booked ·
275 days available · 100 days booked ·
249 days available · 114 days booked ·
276 days available · 105 days booked ·
316 days available · 122 days booked ·
252 days available · 120 days booked ·
Revenue and occupancy reflect Chalet's modeled estimates from observed booking activity for comparable active listings. Individual results vary with management, seasonality, and pricing.
Who this property is for
The same property is a great buy for one investor and a trap for another. Here's the honest read.
1031 / high-equity buyer
~$235.6K
Year-1 tax shield
Buying with cash or low leverage removes the debt-coverage problem entirely, so the thesis rests on appreciation plus a large first-year write-off. At roughly 25% of purchase price, the shield is substantial enough to carry the deal on its own.
Price-disciplined buyer
$786.4K
Break-even purchase price
The deal pencils only if you buy right. At ~18% below the Zestimate the numbers reach break-even — treat that as a negotiation anchor, not a fantasy. Pay asking and the math stops working.
DSCR cash-flow buyer
0.82
DSCR at asking
At asking price the property doesn't cover its own debt service, so it won't qualify for DSCR financing as modeled. If you need cash flow from day one, look at a mid-term-rental fallback or a different Mammoth Lakes submarket.
For a buyer who materially participates and qualifies for the STR tax treatment.
$235.6K
Estimated first-year deduction · range $195.6K–$268.6K
Why this matters here
At a marginal bracket, this deduction can be worth $72.4K–$99.4K in estimated federal tax saved.
This only applies if you meet the IRS material-participation tests for short-term rentals and are not using a full-service property manager.
Estimate, subject to CPA review. Cost-segregation percentages shown here are illustrative and depend on an actual study of the property.
California does not conform to federal bonus depreciation, so your state tax treatment will differ from the federal figures above.
Chalet can introduce a cost-segregation partner — this is not tax, legal, or financial advice.
How cash-on-cash return moves with purchase price. The marked line is break-even (1.0 DSCR).
At this price: cash-on-cash -3.7%, DSCR 0.82, cash flow -$10,026/yr
| Price vs asking | Price | Cash-on-cash | DSCR | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25% | $715,425 | 2.1% | 1.10 | Positive |
| -22% | $744,042 | 1.2% | 1.06 | Positive |
| -15% | $810,815 | -0.6% | 0.97 | Below break-even |
| -8% | $877,588 | -2.2% | 0.90 | Below break-even |
| Asking | $953,900 | -3.7% | 0.82 | Below break-even |
| +8% | $1,030,212 | -5.1% | 0.76 | Below break-even |
| +15% | $1,096,985 | -6.1% | 0.72 | Below break-even |
Break-even price
$786,450
~18% under Zestimate. Where this property reaches 1.0 DSCR and neutral cash flow.
Discount needed
−$167,450
The gap between asking and the price a cash-flow buyer can underwrite.
If refi to 5.5% in 24 mo
+$8,372/yr
Illustrative cash-flow improvement at asking price if rates fall. Planning figure, not a forecast.
Annual avg $7,499 · peaks at $12,983 in Jan
Annual avg 59% · peaks at 76% in Aug
−$835/mo after all expenses
Cash to close
Down payment, closing costs, and furnishing
$276,631
Return on cash:13.6%
DSCR below 1.0 — but you can still qualify
Your DSCR is 0.82 · lenders typically require 1.0+.
Get matched with 2–3 vetted STR lenders, free.
What the deal returns over the hold — including the tax shield, which is the whole point for an appreciation buyer.
Levered IRR
15.8%
over 5-yr hold, with tax shield
Equity multiple
1.9×
total proceeds vs. $276,631 invested
Projected value at exit
$1,217,445
year 5 · 5.0% annual appreciation
Tax shield contribution
+6.7 pts
of IRR comes from year-1 depreciation
| Year | Equity | Appreciation | Cumulative cash flow | Total value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $245,742 | $47,695 | $77,151 | $370,588 |
| Year 2 | $253,535 | $97,775 | $68,475 | $419,785 |
| Year 3 | $261,891 | $150,358 | $61,169 | $473,418 |
| Year 4 | $270,851 | $205,571 | $55,253 | $531,676 |
| Year 5 | $280,459 | $263,545 | $50,750 | $594,754 |
Projection, not a promise.
Assumes 5.0% annual appreciation, 1.5% rent growth (operating costs held flat), and that the property qualifies for short-term-rental tax treatment. The year-1 depreciation shield depends on a real cost-segregation study and your tax situation — consult a CPA.
Appreciation is the dominant driver of this return. When cash flow is negative, the deal depends on the property gaining value — it is not paying for itself from income.
Appreciation, rent growth, and financing rates are editable under Edit financials.
STR deals turn on local rules and demand that a generalist agent misses. Chalet matches you with a vetted Mammoth Lakes agent who knows which properties actually cash flow — and which to avoid.
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Real Estate Investment Analysis & Market Insights
Disclaimer. This page and the data presented are for informational purposes only. The information provided should not be construed as financial, legal, or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult with qualified professionals before making investment decisions.
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