Sign up for our newsletter
Monthly insights, tips, and exclusive offers for STR investors.
All Real Estate Services are offered through Chalet Realty (DBA of Mahalla Realty LLC).
Texas Real Estate Commission Consumer Protection NoticeTexas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage ServicesTREC DisclaimerChalet (“GetChalet Inc.”) provides general educational content and tools for real-estate investors. Chalet is not a law firm, CPA firm, or investment adviser, and does not provide tax, legal, or accounting advice. Nothing on this site creates a CPA-client, attorney-client, or fiduciary relationship. Tax laws change, and state rules may differ from federal rules (e.g., California decouples from federal bonus depreciation). Always consult your own qualified tax and legal professionals about your specific situation.
The term 'Airbnb' is used on our site in a colloquial sense, akin to saying 'I am going to Airbnb it.' This usage is intended to refer broadly to the concept of short-term rentals and not specifically to the Airbnb platform or services. Airbnb, Inc. is not affiliated with Chalet, nor does it endorse or sponsor our services. We use the term in this generalized manner to easily convey the idea of participating in short-term rental activities, recognizing 'Airbnb' as a term familiar to many in this context.
Affiliate & Referral Disclosure. Chalet may receive referral fees or other consideration when you engage with featured agents, lenders, cost-seg providers, or other partners referenced on this site. These relationships may influence which partners we present. We follow the FTC Endorsement Guides and aim to disclose material connections clearly and conspicuously.
Chalet (DBA of GetChalet Inc.) is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Airbnb, Airbnb.com, or any of its subsidiaries or its affiliates. The official Airbnb website can be found at http://www.airbnb.com. The name "Airbnb" as well as related names, marks, emblems and images are registered trademarks of Airbnb, Inc.
4316 East Jicarilla Street, Phoenix, AZ, USA
Priced too high to cash-flow with a loan — an equity or tax play, not income.
Investment potential
Your scenario · adjust the levers below or open advanced settings to see how returns change
$46,575
$3,881/mo · at 67% occupancy & $287/night
-$769
-$64/mo after costs & mortgage
Cap rate
5.8%
Cash-on-cash
-0.6%
DSCR
0.97
Confidence
Your assumptions
Revenue
$46,575/yr
Market avg: $46,575/yr · 67% occ · $287 ADR
Financing
$26,633/yr
Operating costs
$20,711/yr
How this property compares to similar short-term rentals nearby.
Comparable set · 37 properties
$160–$427
Median $287
35%–93%
Median 67%
$31.8K–$81.5K
Median $43.0K
197–349
Median 274
This property · $46.6K
Comparable properties (37)
Cash flow potential Medium · Appreciation potential Medium
349 days available · 271 days booked ·
306 days available · 215 days booked ·
286 days available · 227 days booked ·
274 days available · 169 days booked ·
345 days available · 239 days booked ·
319 days available · 212 days booked ·
324 days available · 284 days booked ·
262 days available · 160 days booked ·
277 days available · 170 days booked ·
323 days available · 180 days booked ·
280 days available · 156 days booked ·
244 days available · 177 days booked ·
265 days available · 172 days booked ·
309 days available · 172 days booked ·
253 days available · 221 days booked ·
325 days available · 169 days booked ·
288 days available · 164 days booked ·
345 days available · 155 days booked ·
211 days available · 157 days booked ·
255 days available · 190 days booked ·
324 days available · 224 days booked ·
197 days available · 144 days booked ·
237 days available · 131 days booked ·
306 days available · 228 days booked ·
239 days available · 144 days booked ·
266 days available · 124 days booked ·
284 days available · 230 days booked ·
272 days available · 142 days booked ·
307 days available · 165 days booked ·
284 days available · 185 days booked ·
256 days available · 234 days booked ·
229 days available · 169 days booked ·
259 days available · 102 days booked ·
215 days available · 98 days booked ·
255 days available · 159 days booked ·
221 days available · 155 days booked ·
261 days available · 155 days booked ·
Revenue and occupancy reflect Chalet's modeled estimates from observed booking activity for comparable active listings. Individual results vary with management, seasonality, and pricing.
Who this property is for
The same property is a great buy for one investor and a trap for another. Here's the honest read.
1031 / high-equity buyer
~$109.9K
Year-1 tax shield
Buying with cash or low leverage removes the debt-coverage problem entirely, so the thesis rests on appreciation plus a large first-year write-off. At roughly 25% of purchase price, the shield is substantial enough to carry the deal on its own.
Price-disciplined buyer
$432.0K
Break-even purchase price
Break-even sits only ~3% below the Zestimate, which is inside normal negotiating range. A disciplined buyer has a realistic path to making this work at close to asking.
DSCR cash-flow buyer
0.97
DSCR at asking
At asking price the property doesn't cover its own debt service, so it won't qualify for DSCR financing as modeled. If you need cash flow from day one, look at a mid-term-rental fallback or a different Phoenix submarket.
For a buyer who materially participates and qualifies for the STR tax treatment.
$109.9K
Estimated first-year deduction · range $91.2K–$125.2K
Why this matters here
At a marginal bracket, this deduction can be worth $33.7K–$46.3K in estimated federal tax saved.
This only applies if you meet the IRS material-participation tests for short-term rentals and are not using a full-service property manager.
Estimate, subject to CPA review. Cost-segregation percentages shown here are illustrative and depend on an actual study of the property.
Some states do not conform to federal bonus depreciation, so your state may not allow the same first-year treatment shown above.
Chalet can introduce a cost-segregation partner — this is not tax, legal, or financial advice.
How cash-on-cash return moves with purchase price. The marked line is break-even (1.0 DSCR).
At this price: cash-on-cash -0.6%, DSCR 0.97, cash flow -$769/yr
| Price vs asking | Price | Cash-on-cash | DSCR | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25% | $333,600 | 5.5% | 1.29 | Positive |
| -22% | $346,944 | 4.6% | 1.25 | Positive |
| -15% | $378,080 | 2.7% | 1.14 | Positive |
| -8% | $409,216 | 1.1% | 1.06 | Positive |
| Asking | $444,800 | -0.6% | 0.97 | Below break-even |
| +8% | $480,384 | -2.0% | 0.90 | Below break-even |
| +15% | $511,520 | -3.1% | 0.84 | Below break-even |
Break-even price
$431,955
~3% under Zestimate. Where this property reaches 1.0 DSCR and neutral cash flow.
Discount needed
−$12,845
The gap between asking and the price a cash-flow buyer can underwrite.
If refi to 5.5% in 24 mo
+$3,904/yr
Illustrative cash-flow improvement at asking price if rates fall. Planning figure, not a forecast.
Annual avg $3,881 · peaks at $5,202 in Feb
Annual avg 65% · peaks at 79% in Mar
−$64/mo after all expenses
Cash to close
Down payment, closing costs, and furnishing
$128,992
Return on cash:16.6%
DSCR below 1.0 — but you can still qualify
Your DSCR is 0.97 · lenders typically require 1.0+.
Get matched with 2–3 vetted STR lenders, free.
What the deal returns over the hold — including the tax shield, which is the whole point for an appreciation buyer.
Levered IRR
18.6%
over 5-yr hold, with tax shield
Equity multiple
2.0×
total proceeds vs. $128,992 invested
Projected value at exit
$567,690
year 5 · 5.0% annual appreciation
Tax shield contribution
+7.1 pts
of IRR comes from year-1 depreciation
| Year | Equity | Appreciation | Cumulative cash flow | Total value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $114,589 | $22,240 | $39,881 | $176,710 |
| Year 2 | $118,222 | $45,592 | $39,811 | $203,625 |
| Year 3 | $122,119 | $70,112 | $40,450 | $232,680 |
| Year 4 | $126,297 | $95,857 | $41,808 | $263,962 |
| Year 5 | $130,777 | $122,890 | $43,897 | $297,564 |
Projection, not a promise.
Assumes 5.0% annual appreciation, 1.5% rent growth (operating costs held flat), and that the property qualifies for short-term-rental tax treatment. The year-1 depreciation shield depends on a real cost-segregation study and your tax situation — consult a CPA.
Appreciation is the dominant driver of this return. When cash flow is negative, the deal depends on the property gaining value — it is not paying for itself from income.
Appreciation, rent growth, and financing rates are editable under Edit financials.
STR deals turn on local rules and demand that a generalist agent misses. Chalet matches you with a vetted Phoenix agent who knows which properties actually cash flow — and which to avoid.
© 2026 Chalet. All rights reserved.
This analysis is generated by Chalet's Airbnb Calculator
Visit getchalet.com for more tools
Real Estate Investment Analysis & Market Insights
Disclaimer
This page and the data presented are for informational purposes only. The information provided should not be construed as financial, legal, or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult with qualified professionals before making investment decisions.
1003 West Julie Drive, Tempe, AZ, USA
3 bed 2 bath 8 guests
Revenue
$43,264/yr
Daily Rate
$252
Occupancy
0.7%
602 N May St unit 65, Chandler, AZ, USA
3 bed 2 bath 8 guests
Revenue
$50,763/yr
9407 South 13th Way, Phoenix, AZ, USA
5 bed 3 bath 12 guests
Revenue
$56,181/yr
1131 W California Ave, Mill Valley, CA 94941, USA
3 bed 2 bath 8 guests
Revenue
$53,474/yr
308 E La Jolla Dr, Tempe, AZ, USA
3 bed 2 bath 8 guests
Revenue
$40,854/yr
8652 S Holbrook Ln, Tempe, AZ 85284, USA
3 bed 2 bath 8 guests
Revenue
$52,380/yr
Daily Rate
$254
Occupancy
0.8%
Daily Rate
$359
Occupancy
0.7%
Daily Rate
$254
Occupancy
0.8%
Daily Rate
$253
Occupancy
0.7%
Daily Rate
$254
Occupancy
0.8%