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1920 Ski Time Square Dr unit 310, Steamboat Springs, CO 80487, USA
Priced too high to cash-flow with a loan — an equity or tax play, not income.
Investment potential
Your scenario · adjust the levers below or open advanced settings to see how returns change
$70,489
$5,874/mo · at 63% occupancy & $365/night
-$3,742
-$312/mo after costs & mortgage
Cap rate
5.5%
Cash-on-cash
-1.8%
DSCR
0.91
Confidence
Your assumptions
Revenue
$70,489/yr
Market avg: $70,489/yr · 63% occ · $365 ADR
Financing
$42,046/yr
Operating costs
$32,185/yr
How this property compares to similar short-term rentals nearby.
Comparable set · 50 properties
$180–$540
Median $365
24%–91%
Median 63%
$38.3K–$117.2K
Median $65.4K
154–365
Median 326
This property · $70.5K
Comparable properties (50)
Cash flow potential Medium · Appreciation potential Medium
365 days available · 220 days booked ·
325 days available · 264 days booked ·
349 days available · 285 days booked ·
323 days available · 196 days booked ·
347 days available · 214 days booked ·
332 days available · 195 days booked ·
328 days available · 232 days booked ·
336 days available · 200 days booked ·
287 days available · 166 days booked ·
266 days available · 193 days booked ·
347 days available · 195 days booked ·
365 days available · 180 days booked ·
365 days available · 193 days booked ·
365 days available · 234 days booked ·
365 days available · 186 days booked ·
328 days available · 181 days booked ·
330 days available · 194 days booked ·
311 days available · 156 days booked ·
289 days available · 189 days booked ·
299 days available · 179 days booked ·
295 days available · 178 days booked ·
365 days available · 191 days booked ·
365 days available · 195 days booked ·
354 days available · 149 days booked ·
317 days available · 180 days booked ·
350 days available · 217 days booked ·
320 days available · 169 days booked ·
312 days available · 154 days booked ·
300 days available · 228 days booked ·
245 days available · 161 days booked ·
337 days available · 266 days booked ·
365 days available · 181 days booked ·
357 days available · 208 days booked ·
360 days available · 163 days booked ·
267 days available · 136 days booked ·
252 days available · 124 days booked ·
365 days available · 139 days booked ·
314 days available · 165 days booked ·
326 days available · 224 days booked ·
309 days available · 156 days booked ·
275 days available · 138 days booked ·
365 days available · 143 days booked ·
255 days available · 156 days booked ·
290 days available · 98 days booked ·
266 days available · 131 days booked ·
154 days available · 102 days booked ·
293 days available · 140 days booked ·
164 days available · 106 days booked ·
203 days available · 122 days booked ·
365 days available · 137 days booked ·
Revenue and occupancy reflect Chalet's modeled estimates from observed booking activity for comparable active listings. Individual results vary with management, seasonality, and pricing.
Who this property is for
The same property is a great buy for one investor and a trap for another. Here's the honest read.
1031 / high-equity buyer
~$173.4K
Year-1 tax shield
Buying with cash or low leverage removes the debt-coverage problem entirely, so the thesis rests on appreciation plus a large first-year write-off. At roughly 25% of purchase price, the shield is substantial enough to carry the deal on its own.
Price-disciplined buyer
$639.7K
Break-even purchase price
The deal pencils only if you buy right. At ~9% below the Zestimate the numbers reach break-even — treat that as a negotiation anchor, not a fantasy. Pay asking and the math stops working.
DSCR cash-flow buyer
0.91
DSCR at asking
At asking price the property doesn't cover its own debt service, so it won't qualify for DSCR financing as modeled. If you need cash flow from day one, look at a mid-term-rental fallback or a different Steamboat Springs submarket.
For a buyer who materially participates and qualifies for the STR tax treatment.
$173.4K
Estimated first-year deduction · range $144.0K–$197.7K
Why this matters here
At a marginal bracket, this deduction can be worth $53.3K–$73.2K in estimated federal tax saved.
This only applies if you meet the IRS material-participation tests for short-term rentals and are not using a full-service property manager.
Estimate, subject to CPA review. Cost-segregation percentages shown here are illustrative and depend on an actual study of the property.
Some states do not conform to federal bonus depreciation, so your state may not allow the same first-year treatment shown above.
Chalet can introduce a cost-segregation partner — this is not tax, legal, or financial advice.
How cash-on-cash return moves with purchase price. The marked line is break-even (1.0 DSCR).
At this price: cash-on-cash -1.8%, DSCR 0.91, cash flow -$3,742/yr
| Price vs asking | Price | Cash-on-cash | DSCR | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25% | $526,650 | 4.3% | 1.21 | Positive |
| -22% | $547,716 | 3.4% | 1.17 | Positive |
| -15% | $596,870 | 1.5% | 1.07 | Positive |
| -8% | $646,024 | -0.2% | 0.99 | At break-even |
| Asking | $702,200 | -1.8% | 0.91 | Below break-even |
| +8% | $758,376 | -3.3% | 0.84 | Below break-even |
| +15% | $807,530 | -4.4% | 0.79 | Below break-even |
Break-even price
$639,708
~9% under Zestimate. Where this property reaches 1.0 DSCR and neutral cash flow.
Discount needed
−$62,492
The gap between asking and the price a cash-flow buyer can underwrite.
If refi to 5.5% in 24 mo
+$6,163/yr
Illustrative cash-flow improvement at asking price if rates fall. Planning figure, not a forecast.
Annual avg $5,874 · peaks at $10,714 in Jan
Annual avg 57% · peaks at 79% in Aug
−$312/mo after all expenses
Cash to close
Down payment, closing costs, and furnishing
$203,638
Return on cash:15.4%
DSCR below 1.0 — but you can still qualify
Your DSCR is 0.91 · lenders typically require 1.0+.
Get matched with 2–3 vetted STR lenders, free.
What the deal returns over the hold — including the tax shield, which is the whole point for an appreciation buyer.
Levered IRR
17.4%
over 5-yr hold, with tax shield
Equity multiple
2.0×
total proceeds vs. $203,638 invested
Projected value at exit
$896,205
year 5 · 5.0% annual appreciation
Tax shield contribution
+6.9 pts
of IRR comes from year-1 depreciation
| Year | Equity | Appreciation | Cumulative cash flow | Total value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $180,900 | $35,110 | $60,432 | $276,442 |
| Year 2 | $186,636 | $71,976 | $57,747 | $316,359 |
| Year 3 | $192,787 | $110,684 | $56,136 | $359,608 |
| Year 4 | $199,383 | $151,328 | $55,614 | $406,326 |
| Year 5 | $206,456 | $194,005 | $56,197 | $456,658 |
Projection, not a promise.
Assumes 5.0% annual appreciation, 1.5% rent growth (operating costs held flat), and that the property qualifies for short-term-rental tax treatment. The year-1 depreciation shield depends on a real cost-segregation study and your tax situation — consult a CPA.
Appreciation is the dominant driver of this return. When cash flow is negative, the deal depends on the property gaining value — it is not paying for itself from income.
Appreciation, rent growth, and financing rates are editable under Edit financials.
STR deals turn on local rules and demand that a generalist agent misses. Chalet matches you with a vetted Steamboat Springs agent who knows which properties actually cash flow — and which to avoid.
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This analysis is generated by Chalet's Airbnb Calculator
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Real Estate Investment Analysis & Market Insights
Disclaimer
This page and the data presented are for informational purposes only. The information provided should not be construed as financial, legal, or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult with qualified professionals before making investment decisions.
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