Sign up for our newsletter
Monthly insights, tips, and exclusive offers for STR investors.
All Real Estate Services are offered through Chalet Realty (DBA of Mahalla Realty LLC).
Texas Real Estate Commission Consumer Protection NoticeTexas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage ServicesTREC DisclaimerChalet (“GetChalet Inc.”) provides general educational content and tools for real-estate investors. Chalet is not a law firm, CPA firm, or investment adviser, and does not provide tax, legal, or accounting advice. Nothing on this site creates a CPA-client, attorney-client, or fiduciary relationship. Tax laws change, and state rules may differ from federal rules (e.g., California decouples from federal bonus depreciation). Always consult your own qualified tax and legal professionals about your specific situation.
The term 'Airbnb' is used on our site in a colloquial sense, akin to saying 'I am going to Airbnb it.' This usage is intended to refer broadly to the concept of short-term rentals and not specifically to the Airbnb platform or services. Airbnb, Inc. is not affiliated with Chalet, nor does it endorse or sponsor our services. We use the term in this generalized manner to easily convey the idea of participating in short-term rental activities, recognizing 'Airbnb' as a term familiar to many in this context.
Affiliate & Referral Disclosure. Chalet may receive referral fees or other consideration when you engage with featured agents, lenders, cost-seg providers, or other partners referenced on this site. These relationships may influence which partners we present. We follow the FTC Endorsement Guides and aim to disclose material connections clearly and conspicuously.
Chalet (DBA of GetChalet Inc.) is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Airbnb, Airbnb.com, or any of its subsidiaries or its affiliates. The official Airbnb website can be found at http://www.airbnb.com. The name "Airbnb" as well as related names, marks, emblems and images are registered trademarks of Airbnb, Inc.
1245 Secona Way, Pigeon Forge, TN 37876, USA
Cash-flow positive, but the margin over debt service is thin.
Investment potential
Your scenario · adjust the levers below or open advanced settings to see how returns change
$55,472
$4,623/mo · at 59% occupancy & $364/night
$1,872
$156/mo after costs & mortgage
Cap rate
6.4%
Cash-on-cash
1.2%
DSCR
1.06
Confidence
Your assumptions
Revenue
$55,472/yr
Market avg: $55,472/yr · 59% occ · $364 ADR
Financing
$29,939/yr
Operating costs
$23,661/yr
How this property compares to similar short-term rentals nearby.
Comparable set · 50 properties
$245–$519
Median $365
32%–88%
Median 59%
$34.5K–$93.0K
Median $52.9K
193–365
Median 284
This property · $55.5K
Comparable properties (50)
Cash flow potential Medium · Appreciation potential Medium
284 days available · 200 days booked ·
259 days available · 188 days booked ·
328 days available · 219 days booked ·
351 days available · 189 days booked ·
347 days available · 180 days booked ·
284 days available · 178 days booked ·
345 days available · 175 days booked ·
275 days available · 210 days booked ·
258 days available · 218 days booked ·
277 days available · 168 days booked ·
242 days available · 189 days booked ·
272 days available · 157 days booked ·
365 days available · 197 days booked ·
287 days available · 172 days booked ·
292 days available · 158 days booked ·
274 days available · 171 days booked ·
290 days available · 140 days booked ·
267 days available · 177 days booked ·
317 days available · 177 days booked ·
333 days available · 192 days booked ·
252 days available · 159 days booked ·
308 days available · 181 days booked ·
204 days available · 168 days booked ·
305 days available · 150 days booked ·
301 days available · 143 days booked ·
292 days available · 113 days booked ·
307 days available · 125 days booked ·
273 days available · 146 days booked ·
247 days available · 177 days booked ·
345 days available · 146 days booked ·
269 days available · 160 days booked ·
284 days available · 158 days booked ·
221 days available · 136 days booked ·
365 days available · 139 days booked ·
338 days available · 154 days booked ·
271 days available · 120 days booked ·
268 days available · 147 days booked ·
273 days available · 107 days booked ·
305 days available · 140 days booked ·
282 days available · 153 days booked ·
252 days available · 140 days booked ·
266 days available · 141 days booked ·
292 days available · 138 days booked ·
301 days available · 123 days booked ·
317 days available · 121 days booked ·
335 days available · 115 days booked ·
352 days available · 123 days booked ·
277 days available · 156 days booked ·
193 days available · 105 days booked ·
208 days available · 133 days booked ·
Revenue and occupancy reflect Chalet's modeled estimates from observed booking activity for comparable active listings. Individual results vary with management, seasonality, and pricing.
Who this property is for
The same property is a great buy for one investor and a trap for another. Here's the honest read.
1031 / high-equity buyer
~$123.5K
Year-1 tax shield
Buying with cash or low leverage removes the debt-coverage problem entirely, so the thesis rests on appreciation plus a large first-year write-off. At roughly 25% of purchase price, the shield is substantial enough to carry the deal on its own.
Price-disciplined buyer
$531.3K
Break-even purchase price
The deal already breaks even at or above the Zestimate, so you don't need a discount to make the math work. Buy at asking and the numbers still hold — rare enough in Pigeon Forge to be worth moving on.
DSCR cash-flow buyer
1.06
DSCR at asking
The property covers its debt service at asking but sits below the 1.20 most lenders want to see, so expect a larger down payment or a rate buy-down to get it financed. There's no margin for a soft season.
For a buyer who materially participates and qualifies for the STR tax treatment.
$123.5K
Estimated first-year deduction · range $102.5K–$140.8K
Why this matters here
At a marginal bracket, this deduction can be worth $37.9K–$52.1K in estimated federal tax saved.
This only applies if you meet the IRS material-participation tests for short-term rentals and are not using a full-service property manager.
Estimate, subject to CPA review. Cost-segregation percentages shown here are illustrative and depend on an actual study of the property.
Some states do not conform to federal bonus depreciation, so your state may not allow the same first-year treatment shown above.
Chalet can introduce a cost-segregation partner — this is not tax, legal, or financial advice.
How cash-on-cash return moves with purchase price. The marked line is break-even (1.0 DSCR).
At this price: cash-on-cash +1.2%, DSCR 1.06, cash flow $1,872/yr
| Price vs asking | Price | Cash-on-cash | DSCR | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25% | $375,000 | 8.0% | 1.42 | Positive |
| -22% | $390,000 | 7.0% | 1.36 | Positive |
| -15% | $425,000 | 4.9% | 1.25 | Positive |
| -8% | $460,000 | 3.1% | 1.15 | Positive |
| Asking | $500,000 | 1.2% | 1.06 | Positive |
| +8% | $540,000 | -0.3% | 0.98 | At break-even |
| +15% | $575,000 | -1.5% | 0.92 | Below break-even |
Break-even price
$531,264
~-6% under Zestimate. Where this property reaches 1.0 DSCR and neutral cash flow.
Discount needed
−$31,264
The gap between asking and the price a cash-flow buyer can underwrite.
If refi to 5.5% in 24 mo
+$4,388/yr
Illustrative cash-flow improvement at asking price if rates fall. Planning figure, not a forecast.
Annual avg $4,623 · peaks at $5,947 in Oct
Annual avg 56% · peaks at 76% in Jul
$156/mo after all expenses
Cash to close
Down payment, closing costs, and furnishing
$145,000
Return on cash:18.5%
You qualify for STR financing
Your DSCR is 1.06 · lenders typically require 1.0+.
Get matched with 2–3 vetted STR lenders, free.
What the deal returns over the hold — including the tax shield, which is the whole point for an appreciation buyer.
Levered IRR
20.4%
over 5-yr hold, with tax shield
Equity multiple
2.1×
total proceeds vs. $145,000 invested
Projected value at exit
$638,141
year 5 · 5.0% annual appreciation
Tax shield contribution
+7.3 pts
of IRR comes from year-1 depreciation
| Year | Equity | Appreciation | Cumulative cash flow | Total value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $128,809 | $25,000 | $47,567 | $201,376 |
| Year 2 | $132,894 | $51,250 | $50,271 | $234,415 |
| Year 3 | $137,274 | $78,813 | $53,820 | $269,906 |
| Year 4 | $141,970 | $107,753 | $58,226 | $307,949 |
| Year 5 | $147,007 | $138,141 | $63,502 | $348,649 |
Projection, not a promise.
Assumes 5.0% annual appreciation, 1.5% rent growth (operating costs held flat), and that the property qualifies for short-term-rental tax treatment. The year-1 depreciation shield depends on a real cost-segregation study and your tax situation — consult a CPA.
Appreciation is the dominant driver of this return. When cash flow is negative, the deal depends on the property gaining value — it is not paying for itself from income.
Appreciation, rent growth, and financing rates are editable under Edit financials.
STR deals turn on local rules and demand that a generalist agent misses. Chalet matches you with a vetted Pigeon Forge agent who knows which properties actually cash flow — and which to avoid.
© 2026 Chalet. All rights reserved.
This analysis is generated by Chalet's Airbnb Calculator
Visit getchalet.com for more tools
Real Estate Investment Analysis & Market Insights
Disclaimer
This page and the data presented are for informational purposes only. The information provided should not be construed as financial, legal, or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult with qualified professionals before making investment decisions.
1652 Shady Grove Rd, Sevierville, TN 37876, USA
1 bed 1 bath 2 guests
Revenue
$37,187/yr
Daily Rate
$248
Occupancy
0.6%
2011 Ridgecrest Loop Ln, Sevierville, TN 37876, USA
3 bed 2 bath 8 guests
Revenue
$45,598/yr
2131 Paradise View Way, Sevierville, TN 37876, USA
3 bed 2 bath 8 guests
Revenue
$43,876/yr
933 Buck Wy, Sevierville, TN 37876, USA
3 bed 2 bath 8 guests
Revenue
$44,716/yr
2251 Upper Middle Creek Rd, Sevierville, TN, USA
4 bed 3 bath 10 guests
Revenue
$55,985/yr
4238 Dollys Dr, Sevierville, TN 37876, USA
4 bed 5 bath 10 guests
Revenue
$86,625/yr
Daily Rate
$269
Occupancy
0.6%
Daily Rate
$271
Occupancy
0.6%
Daily Rate
$284
Occupancy
0.6%
Daily Rate
$410
Occupancy
0.5%
Daily Rate
$627
Occupancy
0.6%